David Vance SubstackRead More
The last time that there was a Civil War on English soil was between 1642 and 1651. The conflict resulted in significant loss of life, the execution of Charles I, and a period of republican rule under Oliver Cromwell. My question is this; Is another Civil War a possibility?
Just consider this. The current Labour Government swept to power July 2024 with an overwhelming majority that sees them with control of the UK until 2029. 12 months on, the leader of the administration, Sir Keir Starmer, plummet in popularity from a +19 approval to -44%. We see the numbers of illegal migrants soar by +50%, the number of prosecutions of gang smuggler drop by 14%, we see hotels requisitioned and used exclusively to house these cross channel migrants. And local people are not prepared to endure this. Throw in a deteriorating economy, mass censorship and the removal of liberty and people can reasonably wonder if this can carry on without something giving.
We see a political dynamic of seismic proportions which this poll neatly demonstrates
Regardless of what you think of Reform and Farage, there is no denying that we see a brewing political revolution. The Labour/Conservative consensus looks set to be smashed into smithereens and that shows the British people want massive change. However the General Election won’t take place until 2029 and I wonder will the centre hold?
No one wants to see violence on the streets but the pressure cooker is building and if nothing changes who knows what it will be like in 2029? Now, there IS a possible release valve next May when Wales and Scotland go to the polls to elect their regional devolved Assemblies. It is likely we will see further major shifts to Reform and that may trigger huge change in Labour and the Conservatives. Will they pivot to try and get on the Reform narrative? Is that even possible with Labour? Even then, there are three more years to go. More migrants, less jobs, a a population that is significantly at odds with the Government – how does this sort itself out WITHOUT civil unrest? And here’s a final though. What if Reform does win in 2029 but proves to be as captured as Labour and the Conservatives? What then?
