David Vance SubstackRead More
I have long argued that Conservative and Labour are just different wings of the same party – the Uniparty. Between them, they have sat in Government for over a century and the electoral system is designed to perpetuate this duopoly. Yes, there are some superficial differences between them but they need you to see that in order to convince you that you have real choice. Historically, the Conservatives tend to be more fiscally adept and Labour tend to boost the State sector.
My problem is that on the really BIG issues they are united.
Lockdown? Both supported it.
Ukraine? Both support Zelensky’s grift! Illegal migration – both do nothing about it?
Islam – both petrified of it.
That’s because they share MUCH more in common than you think.
Bearing all that in mind, it shocks me to see people who SHOULD know better now swooning at the idea of Robert Jenrick taking over the leadership of the Conservatives from Kemi Badenoch and appointing Rupert Lowe as Deputy Leader. This, they believe, could lead to a Conservative victory in 2029 and the dawn of a golden new era of robust Conservatism!
This is whimsy at best, delusion at worst.
Here’s why;
The Conservative Party at Westminster is stacked with Liberal Democrats pretending to be Conservatives. Do you think they welcome the prospect of Rupert Lowe’s plain speaking? Of course not. Like other more shadowy controlling figures in Conservative HQ, they are milquetoast at best and have no intention of moving RIGHT of Reform which is where Rupert Lowe is located. But they might stay silent and not rock the boat if it means power! And then they will strike!
You CANNOT trust the Conservative Party any longer. It’s my opinion that they ceased being *nominally* Conservative in 1990 when they stabbed Margaret Thatcher in the back. And they aren’t coming back. Their polling numbers indicate they are less popular than the Black Death and I can’t see that changing much in the time ahead.
Reform, under Farage, is an existential threat to the Uniparty, Conservative and Labour. Take a look at this most recent polling forecast for 2029.
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Reform UK: 271 seats
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Labour: 178 seats
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Liberal Democrats: ~80 seats
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Conservatives: 46 seats
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SNP: 38 seats
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Greens: 7 seats
Now four years is a LONG time in politics so we mustn’t overreact but just look at the Conservatives. Down to 46 seats. That is terminal and they have to do something dramatic. So a Jenrick/Lowe combo might be their best shot.
However if you accept my essential point that the Conservatives are Uniparty to the core, watching them wither and die is preferable to seeing them return.
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